Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 3.338652 3.535299 3.744997 3.986590 4.258967 4.558638 4.916223
2025-08-24 3.023912 3.287482 3.583305 3.944427 4.379898 4.897221 5.573263
2025-08-31 2.806258 3.111251 3.467158 3.922129 4.502681 5.241357 6.295352
2025-09-07 2.628378 2.957734 3.353807 3.879177 4.582044 5.532302 7.006431
2025-09-14 2.478686 2.821774 3.244265 3.821740 4.625720 5.772531 7.697953
2025-09-21 2.342112 2.689776 3.125746 3.735806 4.612902 5.921655 8.280007
2025-09-28 2.250204 2.606599 3.061643 3.713719 4.683114 6.201791 9.170587
2025-10-05 2.233585 2.617597 3.120096 3.864501 5.025936 6.985134 11.369003
2025-10-12 2.186055 2.583805 3.113839 3.919100 5.224160 7.565199 13.500144
2025-10-19 2.138722 2.546751 3.099281 3.958007 5.399654 8.145260 16.113822
2025-10-26 2.110897 2.533976 3.117031 4.046452 5.671359 8.999120 20.644874
2025-11-02 2.054789 2.478886 3.069735 4.026745 5.744409 9.440296 24.408397
2025-11-09 1.968052 2.381259 2.960688 3.908299 5.636753 9.474298 26.698275
2025-11-16 1.902503 2.311189 2.889381 3.847614 5.635340 9.788109 31.786270
2025-11-23 1.849421 2.256561 2.838198 3.816472 5.688846 10.276316 40.873561
2025-11-30 1.796699 2.200182 2.781275 3.770831 5.706728 10.680741 53.364066
2025-12-07 1.745075 2.143304 2.720651 3.713993 5.693491 10.995171 70.933054
2025-12-14 1.690787 2.080607 2.648206 3.631360 5.614615 11.078535 89.111374
2025-12-21 1.654177 2.042342 2.611790 3.609853 5.667415 11.638244 169.260035
2025-12-28 1.656352 2.060763 2.664471 3.752436 6.116919 13.978639 NaN
2026-01-04 1.638505 2.048584 2.667671 3.803949 6.363873 15.790946 NaN
2026-01-11 1.618588 2.032420 2.663405 3.840665 6.582286 17.766262 NaN
2026-01-18 1.608624 2.030785 2.682536 3.924197 6.944450 21.244290 NaN